FK Partizan 2-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.0pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.77/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.25
+29% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.1 Crosses 18.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.81 xG 1.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
402 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
46 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-1 HT 3-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
22.09.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
2-0
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.92 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
333 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan got the better of Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Partizan had 49% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 51%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.92 to 1.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Zeleznicar Pancevo.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Partizan had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FK Partizan and 1.00 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

FK Partizan 2-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 53%, draw 24%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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