Spartak Subotica 2-4 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
0.93/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.32
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.0 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.76
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
175 Passes 382
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
5 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
25.02.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
26.08.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
19.02.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
10.09.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
20.03.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-2 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
2-4
AWAY Backa Topola
0.95 xG 2.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 456
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola got the better of Spartak Subotica 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 41% of the ball to Backa Topola's 59%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.95 to 2.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.00 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola?

Spartak Subotica 2-4 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 24%, draw 24%, Backa Topola 52%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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