Vojvodina 1-0 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vojvodina EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.90/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.32
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.8 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vojvodina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 270
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-1 HT 0-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
22.04.2023 Vojvodina Vojvodina 4-0 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
11.04.2023 Vojvodina Vojvodina 2-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
14.10.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-1 HT 1-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
18.12.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-1 HT 0-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
22.08.2021 Vojvodina Vojvodina 2-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vojvodina
1-0
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.92 xG 0.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
373 Passes 212
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vojvodina vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vojvodina edged past Novi Pazar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vojvodina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Vojvodina had 62% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 38%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.92 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vojvodina's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vojvodina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vojvodina and 1.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Vojvodina vs Novi Pazar?

Vojvodina 1-0 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vojvodina vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vojvodina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vojvodina 44%, draw 30%, Novi Pazar 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vojvodina), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vojvodina) ✓ Under 2.5
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