Radnik Surdulica 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
-28% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.5 Crosses 13.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
0W-1D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 2.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
303 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
0-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.46 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
212 Passes 211
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd edged past Radnik Surdulica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; IMT Novi Beograd found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 52% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.46 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Radnik Surdulica 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 38%, draw 29%, IMT Novi Beograd 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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