Midtjylland 2-1 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 2 Aug 2026

Midtjylland
2-1 HT 2-0
AC Horsens
📅02/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2026/2027

Midtjylland vs AC Horsens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.56
2-3 Goals
49%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 23% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.55
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.15
X/1
21%
3.82
X/2
7%
16.35
X/X
8%
7.52
2/1
7%
20.75
2/2
10%
13.6
2/X
7%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.3pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Midtjylland v AC Horsens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
2.01/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.95
+12% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.0 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Midtjylland vs AC Horsens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AC Horsens
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 1.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 244
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.05.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-1 HT 1-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
23.04.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-2 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
16.10.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 1-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
12.08.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-3 HT 0-3 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
14.02.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
04.10.2020 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-2 HT 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN

Midtjylland 2-1 AC Horsens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
2-1
AWAY AC Horsens
1.97 xG 0.41
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
371 Passes 235
41 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland nicked a narrow win over AC Horsens 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.97 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Midtjylland's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Midtjylland and 1.17 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs AC Horsens?

Midtjylland 2-1 AC Horsens in the Denmark - Süperlig on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 57%, draw 22%, AC Horsens 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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