FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.95
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
21%
4.3
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
11%
6.38
2/1
7%
19.55
2/2
13%
7.73
2/X
7%
15.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
2.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.65
+41% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.6 Crosses 15.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Randers FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.26 xG 1.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
606 Passes 359
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
22.09.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
02.05.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
13.04.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 5-2 HT 3-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
28.10.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
16.09.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
1-0
AWAY Randers FC
3.70 xG 0.74
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
629 Passes 294
62 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland squeezed past Randers FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.70 to 0.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Nordsjaelland's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 2.17 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 46%, draw 24%, Randers FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
2 Aug 2026
15:00 Midtjylland vs AC Horsens Analysis →
17:00 Brondby vs Viborg Analysis →
19:00 Silkeborg IF vs Kopenhag Analysis →