FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
30%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.16
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.29
X/2
9%
9.6
X/X
9%
5.75
2/1
9%
21.1
2/2
11%
6.63
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
2.06/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.72
+45% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
441 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.3 Crosses 16.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Randers FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.07 xG 1.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
512 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC HAZ
17.03.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.08.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-5 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.05.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
17.04.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
23.10.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
1-1
AWAY Randers FC
1.21 xG 1.12
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
727 Passes 331
93% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland and Randers FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 67% of the ball to Randers FC's 33%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.21 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.83 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 50%, draw 22%, Randers FC 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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