FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.82
-45% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Randers FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.07 xG 1.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
496 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.08.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-5 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.05.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
17.04.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
23.10.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
03.10.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 2-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
3-2
AWAY Randers FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland nicked a narrow win over Randers FC 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 61% of the ball to Randers FC's 39%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.67 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 Randers FC in the Friendlies on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 49%, draw 23%, Randers FC 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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