FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.41
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.76
X/2
7%
8.47
X/X
10%
5.69
2/1
7%
20.95
2/2
13%
5.85
2/X
7%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.65/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.64
+17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
490 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.3 Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Randers FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.21 xG 1.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
609 Passes 353
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
02.05.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
13.04.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 5-2 HT 3-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
28.10.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
16.09.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
29.06.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
1-0
AWAY Randers FC
1.46 xG 1.68
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
587 Passes 389
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland edged past Randers FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 59% of the ball to Randers FC's 41%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.46 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 2.50 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 51%, draw 23%, Randers FC 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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