Brondby 3-3 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.49/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
-21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.1 Crosses 21.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
3W-0D-3L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
431 Passes 382
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
25.05.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-3 HT 2-2 Brondby Brondby DAN
07.04.2025 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
15.12.2024 Brondby Brondby 4-2 HT 2-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
08.12.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAK
21.10.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
3-3
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.72 xG 1.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
308 Passes 547
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brondby vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby and AGF Aarhus shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brondby had 38% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 62%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.72 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brondby and 1.33 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Brondby vs AGF Aarhus?

Brondby 3-3 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brondby 40%, draw 26%, AGF Aarhus 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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