AGF Aarhus 2-3 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 52%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.51/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.37
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
22.0 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brondby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.40 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
384 Passes 404
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2025 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
15.12.2024 Brondby Brondby 4-2 HT 2-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
08.12.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAK
21.10.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
11.08.2024 Brondby Brondby 0-1 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
26.05.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-3 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
2-3
AWAY Brondby
1.73 xG 3.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
396 Passes 497
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby squeezed past AGF Aarhus 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brondby found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 46% of the ball to Brondby's 54%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.73 to 3.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brondby's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.33 for Brondby.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Brondby?

AGF Aarhus 2-3 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 35%, draw 25%, Brondby 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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