Brondby 4-2 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.98
6+ Goals
13%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
13%
3.99
X/2
11%
8.85
X/X
8%
4.68
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
14%
7.17
2/X
9%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.80/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.02
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
16.9 Crosses 8.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
446 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAK
21.10.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
11.08.2024 Brondby Brondby 0-1 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
26.05.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-3 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
14.04.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
10.12.2023 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 2-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
4-2
AWAY AGF Aarhus
2.68 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
361 Passes 407
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 30
4 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brondby vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby beat AGF Aarhus 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brondby as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brondby had 46% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 54%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 2.68 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brondby and 1.50 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Brondby vs AGF Aarhus?

Brondby 4-2 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brondby 44%, draw 25%, AGF Aarhus 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAK More Denmark - DBU Cup
15 Dec 2024
18:00 Kopenhag vs Kolding IF Analysis →