Midtjylland 3-2 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.18
2-3 Goals
37%
2.15
4-5 Goals
29%
2.63
6+ Goals
14%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.08
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.66
X/2
8%
10.15
X/X
11%
6.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
18.9
2/2
12%
6.79
2/X
7%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.9 — our 11% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
2.05/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.71
+16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.8 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Randers FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
16.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 4-2 HT 3-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
22.09.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
11.03.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
08.10.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.11.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
3-2
AWAY Randers FC
0.99 xG 1.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
359 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland squeezed past Randers FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Midtjylland had 57% of the ball to Randers FC's 43%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 0.99 to 1.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Randers FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Midtjylland and 1.33 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Randers FC?

Midtjylland 3-2 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 51%, draw 24%, Randers FC 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
25 May 2025
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