Randers FC 2-1 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.17
1/2
6%
22.45
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
12%
7.47
X/2
17%
4.93
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
32.0
2/2
21%
2.73
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 50%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.40/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.27
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
19.3 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 1.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
310 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 4-2 HT 3-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
22.09.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
11.03.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
08.10.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.11.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
15.07.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
2-1
AWAY Midtjylland
2.11 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
275 Passes 275
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC edged past Midtjylland 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Randers FC had 49% of the ball to Midtjylland's 51%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.11 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Randers FC and 1.67 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Midtjylland?

Randers FC 2-1 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 34%, draw 22%, Midtjylland 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5
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