Midtjylland 4-2 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.61
X/2
12%
8.16
X/X
8%
4.97
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
10%
6.06
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.54/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.58
+19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.0 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Randers FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
11.03.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
08.10.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.11.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
15.07.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
22.05.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 2-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
4-2
AWAY Randers FC
2.42 xG 1.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
420 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
41 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland beat Randers FC 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Midtjylland had 56% of the ball to Randers FC's 44%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.42 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Midtjylland and 1.17 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Randers FC?

Midtjylland 4-2 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 45%, draw 24%, Randers FC 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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