Lyngby 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.33
1/2
12%
23.0
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
11%
8.28
X/2
14%
4.42
X/X
14%
5.09
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.42
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 56%
+14% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.21/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.45
+5% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
17.5 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
289 Passes 469
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
18.02.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
03.09.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
19.02.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
01.08.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 1-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
12.03.2021 Lyngby Lyngby 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
1-0
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.20 xG 2.32
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
266 Passes 725
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 43
7 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby edged past FC Nordsjaelland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lyngby had 29% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 71%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 1.20 to 2.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Nordsjaelland.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lyngby and 1.83 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Lyngby 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 27%, draw 28%, FC Nordsjaelland 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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