SonderjyskE 0-3 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.31
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.52
X/2
13%
6.33
X/X
15%
4.91
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.11
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.11/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.37
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.7 Crosses 20.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aalborg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 3-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
11.05.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
30.03.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
24.02.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-2 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
15.09.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
22.11.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-3 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
0-3
AWAY Aalborg
0.15 xG 2.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
1 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
333 Passes 540
82% Pass Accuracy 92%
7 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg ran out comfortable winners over SonderjyskE 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Aalborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 40% of the ball to Aalborg's 60%, shots finished 1-15, expected goals 0.15 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SonderjyskE and 1.67 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Aalborg?

SonderjyskE 0-3 Aalborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 34%, draw 28%, Aalborg 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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