Aalborg 3-0 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.58
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.75
X/2
17%
5.7
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.53
2/X
6%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.26/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.31
-31% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
21.6 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.97 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
306 Passes 364
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
30.03.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
24.02.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-2 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
15.09.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
22.11.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-3 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
03.10.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 4-0 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
3-0
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.47 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
363 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg cruised past SonderjyskE 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Aalborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Aalborg had 56% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 44%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.47 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aalborg and 0.83 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs SonderjyskE?

Aalborg 3-0 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 38%, draw 24%, SonderjyskE 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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