SonderjyskE 1-0 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
8%
8.92
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
15%
5.97
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.9 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Aalborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.47 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
348 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
24.02.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-2 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
15.09.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
22.11.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-3 HT 1-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
03.10.2021 Aalborg Aalborg 4-0 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
24.05.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-4 HT 0-2 Aalborg Aalborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
1-0
AWAY Aalborg
1.14 xG 0.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
427 Passes 236
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE edged past Aalborg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had SonderjyskE as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 60% of the ball to Aalborg's 40%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.14 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SonderjyskE and 2.50 for Aalborg.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Aalborg?

SonderjyskE 1-0 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a SonderjyskE win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 45%, draw 26%, Aalborg 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SonderjyskE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SonderjyskE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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