Midtjylland 3-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.42
2-3 Goals
40%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.26
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.73
X/2
7%
9.0
X/X
8%
6.34
2/1
8%
19.75
2/2
17%
5.47
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.6pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.69/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.32
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.3 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Viborg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
321 Passes 338
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-1 HT 2-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
15.09.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
09.06.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.02.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-4 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
10.11.2022 Viborg Viborg 3-1 HT 3-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
02.10.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
3-1
AWAY Viborg
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland beat Viborg 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 61% of the ball to Viborg's 39%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Midtjylland and 1.17 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Viborg?

Midtjylland 3-1 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 47%, draw 22%, Viborg 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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