AGF Aarhus 1-0 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.94
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
16%
5.06
X/2
11%
6.84
X/X
9%
4.82
2/1
8%
24.1
2/2
12%
4.7
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.65/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.47
+8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
22.1 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Brondby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 Passes 430
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-3 HT 2-2 Brondby Brondby DAN
07.04.2025 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
15.12.2024 Brondby Brondby 4-2 HT 2-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
08.12.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAK
21.10.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
11.08.2024 Brondby Brondby 0-1 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
1-0
AWAY Brondby
1.93 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
374 Passes 449
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus nicked a narrow win over Brondby 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 46% of the ball to Brondby's 54%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.93 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.50 for Brondby.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Brondby?

AGF Aarhus 1-0 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 42%, draw 26%, Brondby 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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