Midtjylland 5-1 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.3
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.88
2-3 Goals
42%
2.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.47
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
20.65
X/1
25%
3.93
X/2
4%
19.35
X/X
8%
8.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.1
2/2
3%
15.6
2/X
3%
24.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
72%
+2.6pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.6pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
2.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.11
+18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.4 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Vejle
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.95 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
362 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2025 Vejle Vejle 0-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
01.12.2024 Vejle Vejle 0-3 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
09.08.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
17.03.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
13.08.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
04.05.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-1 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
5-1
AWAY Vejle
2.73 xG 1.06
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
517 Passes 255
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
46 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland swept aside Vejle 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Midtjylland had 64% of the ball to Vejle's 36%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.73 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Midtjylland and 0.33 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Vejle?

Midtjylland 5-1 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 75%, draw 15%, Vejle 10%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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