Midtjylland 3-0 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
1.99/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.82
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.8 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vejle
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.04 xG 0.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
394 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
04.05.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-1 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAK
28.04.2022 Vejle Vejle 0-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
29.11.2021 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
06.08.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 4-1 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
21.03.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-0 HT 2-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
3-0
AWAY Vejle
1.80 xG 0.46
74% Ball Possession 26%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
467 Passes 94
85% Pass Accuracy 50%
42 Box Touches 10
36 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland ran out comfortable winners over Vejle 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Midtjylland had 74% of the ball to Vejle's 26%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.80 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Midtjylland and 0.67 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Vejle?

Midtjylland 3-0 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 56%, draw 23%, Vejle 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5
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