Brondby 4-1 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.33
6+ Goals
13%
12.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
13%
3.84
X/2
12%
10.55
X/X
11%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
2/2
9%
8.14
2/X
6%
16.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.77/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.61
-1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.9 Crosses 13.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
349 Passes 585
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
12.03.2023 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
31.07.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
22.05.2022 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
10.04.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-0 HT 1-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
06.03.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
4-1
AWAY Silkeborg IF
1.14 xG 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
673 Passes 431
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby swept aside Silkeborg IF 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brondby as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brondby had 60% of the ball to Silkeborg IF's 40%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.14 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brondby and 1.33 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Silkeborg IF?

Brondby 4-1 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - Süperlig on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brondby 50%, draw 24%, Silkeborg IF 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
17 Mar 2024
19:00 Lyngby vs Viborg Analysis →
19:00 FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC Analysis →
19:00 AGF Aarhus vs Hvidovre Analysis →
19:00 Odense vs Kopenhag Analysis →
19:00 Midtjylland vs Vejle Analysis →