Lyngby 2-0 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 17 Mar 2024

Lyngby
2-0 HT 1-0
Viborg
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2023/2024

Lyngby vs Viborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 28% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.12
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.9
X/2
11%
5.19
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.43
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyngby v Viborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.62/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.14
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
19.1 Crosses 20.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Lyngby vs Viborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Viborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 418
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
07.10.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.08.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
11.03.2017 Lyngby Lyngby 1-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
25.09.2016 Viborg Viborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
06.06.2015 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1

Lyngby 2-0 Viborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
2-0
AWAY Viborg
1.44 xG 0.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
373 Passes 313
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby got the better of Viborg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Lyngby made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lyngby had 54% of the ball to Viborg's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyngby had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lyngby and 1.00 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Viborg?

Lyngby 2-0 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 40%, draw 26%, Viborg 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyngby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyngby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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