Randers FC 4-0 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.17
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
9%
7.67
X/2
12%
4.72
X/X
11%
5.18
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.62
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.24/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.30
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
17.4 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.21 xG 2.10
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
278 Passes 608
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
29.06.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC HAZ
17.03.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.08.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-5 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.05.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
17.04.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
4-0
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
2.00 xG 0.49
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 564
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC ran out comfortable winners over FC Nordsjaelland 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Randers FC had 38% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 62%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.00 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Randers FC and 2.33 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Randers FC 4-0 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 30%, draw 25%, FC Nordsjaelland 45%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →