Randers FC 3-2 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.49
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.82
X/2
10%
6.15
X/X
9%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.65
2/2
16%
3.81
2/X
5%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.65 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -26%
1.51/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.60
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
21.9 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.36 xG 1.51
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 638
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
21 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 5-2 HT 3-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
28.10.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
16.09.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
29.06.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC HAZ
17.03.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.08.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-5 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
3-2
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.73 xG 1.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
356 Passes 504
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC squeezed past FC Nordsjaelland 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Randers FC had 41% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 59%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.73 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Randers FC and 2.50 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Randers FC 3-2 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 43%, draw 24%, FC Nordsjaelland 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →