Stal Mielec 3-3 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2026

Stal Mielec
3-3 HT 3-0
Podbeskidzie Bielsko
📅02/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2026/2027

Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Mielec v Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -27%
1.81/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.56
+28% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 Passes 250
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.03.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-1 HT 0-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL
03.10.2020 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
30.11.2019 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-1 HT 2-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1

Stal Mielec 3-3 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
3-3
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie Bielsko couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stal Mielec had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.00 for Podbeskidzie Bielsko.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Stal Mielec 3-3 Podbeskidzie Bielsko in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Before kick-off our model rated an Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 36%, draw 25%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko 39%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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