Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
1.54/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
+9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.12.2025 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
26.07.2025 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki squeezed past Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and 1.00 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puszcza Niepolomice win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 33%, draw 30%, Puszcza Niepolomice 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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