Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 32%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +5%
2.40/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.22
+56% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1-1
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Puszcza Niepolomice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 50% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 50%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 43%, draw 29%, Puszcza Niepolomice 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
6 Dec 2025
18:30 Pogon Siedlce vs KS Wieczysta Krakow Analysis →
18:30 Miedz Legnica vs Odra Opole Analysis →