Eibar 2-2 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.72
X/2
13%
6.16
X/X
11%
4.27
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.66
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.30/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.16
+40% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +80%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.3 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Levante
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Levante Levante 2-2 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
25.11.2023 Eibar Eibar 3-1 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS2
09.04.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
18.12.2022 Levante Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
10.04.2021 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS1
10.01.2021 Levante Levante 2-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-2
AWAY Levante
3.00 xG 1.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
28 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
477 Passes 204
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 12
42 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar and Levante shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eibar had 66% of the ball to Levante's 34%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 3.00 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eibar and 1.17 for Levante.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Levante?

Eibar 2-2 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eibar 41%, draw 28%, Levante 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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