Levante 2-2 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
13%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 25% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.8
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
14%
6.03
X/2
11%
5.65
X/X
11%
4.82
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.47
2/X
6%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.38/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.24
+52% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
17.9 Crosses 20.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eibar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
326 Passes 304
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Eibar Eibar 3-1 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS2
09.04.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
18.12.2022 Levante Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
10.04.2021 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS1
10.01.2021 Levante Levante 2-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS1
29.02.2020 Eibar Eibar 3-0 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
2-2
AWAY Eibar
2.68 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
395 Passes 367
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levante vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante and Eibar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Levante had 51% of the ball to Eibar's 49%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.68 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Levante and 1.33 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Levante vs Eibar?

Levante 2-2 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Levante 39%, draw 25%, Eibar 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Levante), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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