Racing Santander 1-0 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.56
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.41
X/2
8%
7.78
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
11%
5.66
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.61/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
-22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.5 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mirandes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.40 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
272 Passes 283
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
06.05.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
11.12.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
04.01.2020 Mirandes Mirandes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
17.09.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-0 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
05.09.2018 Mirandes Mirandes 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
1-0
AWAY Mirandes
1.18 xG 0.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
339 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over Mirandes 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Santander had 51% of the ball to Mirandes's 49%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.18 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Santander and 0.50 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Mirandes?

Racing Santander 1-0 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 48%, draw 26%, Mirandes 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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