Sporting Gijon 5-2 FC Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 32% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
12%
4.06
X/2
10%
8.12
X/X
17%
4.47
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
8%
6.56
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.25/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.33
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.9 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
1W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Andorra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.16 xG 1.23
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
205 Passes 519
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.09.2023 FC Andorra FC Andorra 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
19.02.2023 FC Andorra FC Andorra 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
20.08.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 4-1 HT 1-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
5-2
AWAY FC Andorra
1.97 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
395 Passes 469
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs FC Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon swept aside FC Andorra 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 46% of the ball to FC Andorra's 54%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.97 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.67 for FC Andorra.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs FC Andorra?

Sporting Gijon 5-2 FC Andorra in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs FC Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 45%, draw 29%, FC Andorra 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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