Union La Calera 2-1 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.12/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.28
+33% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
16.5 Crosses 13.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-2 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
25.09.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
19.03.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.10.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
10.05.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
12.09.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-3 HT 2-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
2-1
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.11 xG 1.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
215 Passes 291
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera nicked a narrow win over Audax Italiano 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Audax Italiano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 44% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 56%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.92 — on chances, Audax Italiano could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union La Calera and 1.00 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano?

Union La Calera 2-1 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 31%, draw 28%, Audax Italiano 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✗ Under 2.5
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