Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
6.6
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
13%
4.6
X/2
8%
6.11
X/X
15%
3.25
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.27
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.3pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.21/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.11
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.5 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.91 xG 1.89
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
175 Passes 375
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
19.10.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 3-2 HT 2-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
25.04.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-4 HT 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
17.10.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
05.03.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-2 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
29.11.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-0
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.09 xG 0.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
255 Passes 283
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata nicked a narrow win over Argentinos Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnasia La Plata as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 48% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.09 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.83 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Argentinos Juniors?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 46%, draw 27%, Argentinos Juniors 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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