Argentinos Juniors 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.13
X/2
7%
7.93
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
16%
6.35
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.42/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.35
+24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
21.8 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.06 xG 1.02
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
412 Passes 162
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 3-2 HT 2-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
25.04.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-4 HT 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
17.10.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
05.03.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-2 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
29.11.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
19.08.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-3 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
2-0
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.28 xG 0.54
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 207
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors got the better of Gimnasia La Plata 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 54% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 46%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.28 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 1.83 for Gimnasia La Plata.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Argentinos Juniors 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 44%, draw 28%, Gimnasia La Plata 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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