Barracas Central 2-2 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.77
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.28
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
9%
7.16
X/2
17%
4.14
X/X
17%
3.57
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.92
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 48%
+26% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.18/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.90
+29% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.2 Crosses 17.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barracas Central
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Independiente
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.73 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 341
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2023 Independiente Independiente 3-0 HT 2-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
10.03.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
13.10.2022 Independiente Independiente 2-2 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
02.04.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barracas Central
2-2
AWAY Independiente
0.87 xG 0.56
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
230 Passes 474
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barracas Central vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central and Independiente shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barracas Central had 36% of the ball to Independiente's 64%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.87 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Independiente led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Barracas Central and 1.75 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Barracas Central vs Independiente?

Barracas Central 2-2 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barracas Central vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barracas Central 26%, draw 30%, Independiente 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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