Racing Club 0-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.8
X/1
11%
3.39
X/2
7%
15.2
X/X
11%
5.49
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
13.5
2/X
6%
21.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 15%
-8% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.41/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.45
-8% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 67%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
25.4 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.44 xG 0.66
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
448 Passes 139
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
29 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
12.03.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
04.07.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
02.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 4-1 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
01.08.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
16.04.2017 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
0-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
2.40 xG 0.30
79% Ball Possession 21%
26 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
511 Passes 78
83% Pass Accuracy 46%
43 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento nicked a narrow win over Racing Club 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Racing Club had 79% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 21%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.40 to 0.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Racing Club.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Racing Club and 0.67 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs CA Sarmiento?

Racing Club 0-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 52%, draw 25%, CA Sarmiento 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Club) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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