Goias 1-1 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 2 Sep 2024

Goias
1-1 HT 0-0
Paysandu
📅02/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Goias vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.75
Over
41%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
33%
2.96
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
20%
3.94
6+
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.96 — our 33% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Goias v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu The Market 23%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.57/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.87
+43% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
23.1 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5

Goias vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Paysandu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2
01.06.2023 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 2-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRVK
18.05.2023 Paysandu Paysandu 0-2 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BRVK
29.09.2018 Paysandu Paysandu 2-3 HT 1-2 Goias Goias BR2
09.06.2018 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 2-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
23.09.2017 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2

Goias 1-1 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-1
AWAY Paysandu
0.98 xG 0.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
232 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Goias vs Paysandu
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Goias and Paysandu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Goias at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.75, ~57%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (59%) came in, no to both teams scoring (59%) didn't.

On the day, Goias had 44% of the ball to Paysandu's 56%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.98 to 0.36.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Goias and 1.00 for Paysandu.

Goias vs Paysandu Result & Final Score

Goias 1-1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Goias vs Paysandu Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Goias 47%, draw 28%, Paysandu 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Goias), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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