Paysandu 1-1 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.46/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.29
+15% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.1 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Goias
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.54 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 Passes 259
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2023 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 2-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRVK
18.05.2023 Paysandu Paysandu 0-2 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BRVK
29.09.2018 Paysandu Paysandu 2-3 HT 1-2 Goias Goias BR2
09.06.2018 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 2-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
23.09.2017 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
10.06.2017 Paysandu Paysandu 0-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
1-1
AWAY Goias
0.40 xG 1.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
201 Passes 300
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu and Goias couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Paysandu had 42% of the ball to Goias's 58%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.40 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paysandu and 2.00 for Goias.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Goias?

Paysandu 1-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 38%, draw 30%, Goias 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paysandu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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