Rosenborg II 4-4 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
46%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.68
Over 2.5
58%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.35
No
46%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
45%
Away Win
60%
-14.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
70%
-16.2pp
46%
BTTS No
30%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 64%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.43/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.85/1.34
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 493 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 3-2 HT 0-2 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
24.09.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-1 HT 0-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
26.06.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg II
4-4
AWAY Trygg/Lade
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosenborg II vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg II and Trygg/Lade shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Trygg/Lade at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rosenborg II had 49% of the ball to Trygg/Lade's 51%, shots finished 8-25.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rosenborg II and 1.33 for Trygg/Lade.

What was the final score of Rosenborg II vs Trygg/Lade?

Rosenborg II 4-4 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg II vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg II 29%, draw 25%, Trygg/Lade 45%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trygg/Lade) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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