Trygg/Lade 3-2 Rosenborg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.0pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.32/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/2.01
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rosenborg II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-1 HT 0-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
26.06.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trygg/Lade
3-2
AWAY Rosenborg II
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Rosenborg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade edged past Rosenborg II 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trygg/Lade as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Trygg/Lade had 47% of the ball to Rosenborg II's 53%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rosenborg II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Trygg/Lade and 1.00 for Rosenborg II.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Rosenborg II?

Trygg/Lade 3-2 Rosenborg II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Rosenborg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 55%, draw 25%, Rosenborg II 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trygg/Lade), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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