Sandnes Ulf II 2-1 Madla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.2pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.6pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Madla EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.58/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.59
+21% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Madla
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2023 Madla Madla 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II NOR4
17.04.2023 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II 1-3 HT 0-2 Madla Madla NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandnes Ulf II
2-1
AWAY Madla
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf II vs Madla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandnes Ulf II squeezed past Madla 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sandnes Ulf II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sandnes Ulf II had 40% of the ball to Madla's 60%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Madla led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sandnes Ulf II and 1.50 for Madla.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf II vs Madla?

Sandnes Ulf II 2-1 Madla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf II vs Madla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandnes Ulf II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf II 50%, draw 25%, Madla 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandnes Ulf II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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