Famalicao U23 1-0 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.00
+100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
1-0
AWAY Vizela U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 squeezed past Vizela U23 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 52% of the ball to Vizela U23's 48%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.00 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Vizela U23?

Famalicao U23 1-0 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 49%, draw 27%, Vizela U23 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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