Vizela U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.6pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.51/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.52
+57% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Famalicao U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.01.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
1-1
AWAY Famalicao U23
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 and Famalicao U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 61% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 39%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vizela U23 and 2.00 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Vizela U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 32%, draw 35%, Famalicao U23 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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