Mafra U23 2-0 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.7pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-82% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 4-2 HT 3-2 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
2-0
AWAY Rio Ave U23
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 got the better of Rio Ave U23 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Mafra U23 made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 38% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 62%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Mafra U23 2-0 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 33%, draw 34%, Rio Ave U23 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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