Rio Ave U23 4-2 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
4-2
AWAY Mafra U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 beat Mafra U23 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Rio Ave U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 55% of the ball to Mafra U23's 45%, shots finished 23-9.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Mafra U23?

Rio Ave U23 4-2 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 39%, draw 26%, Mafra U23 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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