Estrela U23 1-4 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
1-4
AWAY Sporting CP U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 cruised past Estrela U23 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 53% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 47%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Estrela U23 1-4 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 30%, draw 29%, Sporting CP U23 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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