Benfica U23 1-3 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
14%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 1
07.10.2023 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-4 HT 2-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-3
AWAY Estoril U23
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 25
10 Shots on Target 14
8 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 got the better of Benfica U23 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Estoril U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 43% of the ball to Estoril U23's 57%, shots finished 19-25.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23?

Benfica U23 1-3 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 38%, draw 29%, Estoril U23 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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